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A Comparative Analysis of the Factors Contributing to the Non-Completion of Childhood Immunization among Children Aged 12–23 Months in Urban and Rural Communities of the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja, Nigeria

CITATION 

Ikechukwu, L. O., & Abdulrahman, M. (2026). A Comparative Analysis of the Factors Contributing to the Non-Completion of Childhood Immunization among Children Aged 12–23 Months in Urban and Rural Communities of the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja, Nigeria. International Journal of Research, 13(1), 416–428. https://doi.org/10.26643/ijr/2026/16

Lawrence Okonkwo Ikechukwu¹, Muhammad Abdulrahman²

¹, 2 Faculty of Public Health, Texila American University, Guyana.

Abstract

Background: Childhood immunization is a proven and cost-effective public health intervention for preventing vaccine-preventable diseases. However, incomplete immunization remains a major challenge in Nigeria, including the Federal Capital Territory (FCT), Abuja, where disparities exist between urban and rural communities.

Objectives: This study comparatively analyzed the factors contributing to the non-completion of childhood immunization among children aged 12–23 months in urban and rural communities of the FCT, Abuja.

Methodology: A descriptive cross-sectional study was conducted among 320 caregivers of children aged 12–23 months, comprising 192 (60.0%) from rural and 128 (40.0%) from urban communities. A multistage sampling technique was employed. Data were collected using a structured, interviewer-administered questionnaire and analyzed using SPSS version 26.0. Associations between variables were tested using chi-square analysis at a 5% level of significance.

Results: 64.7% of children were fully immunized, while 35.3% had incomplete immunization. Immunization completion was higher in urban areas (71.9%) compared with rural areas (59.9%). Caregiver educational level was significantly associated with immunization completion (p = 0.001), with completion rates highest among caregivers with tertiary education (78.6%) and lowest among those with no formal education (31.6%). Awareness of immunization importance was significantly associated with completion (69.4% vs. 44.1%; p = 0.005). Fear of vaccine side effects significantly increased non-completion (49.5% vs. 27.1%; p = 0.001). Healthcare system factors such as distance to health facility (p = 0.011), vaccine stockouts (p = 0.004), unfriendly health worker attitude (p = 0.001), and waiting time exceeding two hours (p = 0.012) were significantly associated with non-completion. Community-related factors, including lack of community support (p = 0.002), presence of anti-vaccine beliefs (p = 0.001), and non-participation in sensitization meetings (p = 0.005), were also significant determinants.

Conclusion: Childhood immunization completion in the FCT, Abuja remains suboptimal, particularly in rural communities. Non-completion is driven by a combination of caregiver-related, healthcare system, and community-level factors. Targeted interventions focusing on caregiver education, health system strengthening, improved service accessibility, and community engagement are essential to improve immunization completion rates.

Keywords: Childhood immunization, immunization completion, vaccination dropout, caregivers, urban–rural disparities, Nigeria.

I)      INTRODUCTION

Background of the Study

Immunization has been described as one of the most effective and cost-efficient public health strategies for reducing childhood morbidity and mortality globally. It has been estimated that vaccination prevents between two and three million deaths annually by protecting children against vaccine-preventable diseases (VPDs) such as measles, diphtheria, tetanus, and poliomyelitis (World Health Organization [WHO], 2023). Despite this remarkable success, global data indicate that about 20 million children fail to receive the full course of essential vaccines during their first year of life, leaving them vulnerable to infectious diseases (UNICEF, 2022).

In sub-Saharan Africa, the implementation of the Expanded Programme on Immunization (EPI) has improved vaccination coverage since its introduction in 1974. However, the continent continues to record the highest proportion of unimmunized and partially immunized children worldwide. The WHO Regional Office for Africa (2022) reported that more than 8 million African children still miss routine immunizations each year due to barriers such as poor health infrastructure, limited access to care, poverty, and sociocultural beliefs.

Nigeria, as the most populous country in Africa, carries a substantial share of this burden. According to the National Primary Health Care Development Agency (NPHCDA, 2023), approximately 2.5 million Nigerian children under the age of five fail to complete their immunization schedules annually. Factors such as low parental education, misinformation, religious and cultural resistance, and poor accessibility to healthcare facilities have been consistently associated with incomplete immunization (Adedokun, Uthman, & Wiysonge, 2020; Abdulraheem, Onajole, Jimoh, & Oladipo, 2019).

Within the Federal Capital Territory (FCT) Abuja, the problem remains significant despite the region’s relatively better healthcare infrastructure. Studies conducted by Oche, Umar, and Ahmed (2021) revealed that immunization dropout rates in some parts of the FCT exceed the national average. Urban areas tend to experience challenges related to vaccine hesitancy and misinformation, while rural communities face long travel distances, inadequate cold chain storage, and insufficient healthcare personnel. Furthermore, the COVID-19 pandemic disrupted routine immunization activities across Nigeria, further worsening the number of unimmunized and partially immunized children (NPHCDA, 2021).

It was within this context that the present study was undertaken to comparatively analyze the factors contributing to the non-completion of childhood immunization among children aged 12–23 months in urban and rural communities of the FCT, Abuja. The study sought to identify and compare caregiver, healthcare system, and community-level determinants influencing immunization completion to provide evidence-based recommendations for improving vaccine coverage in the region.

 

 

Problem Statement

Although immunization is recognized as one of the most cost-effective interventions for preventing childhood deaths, its coverage remains suboptimal in Nigeria. The WHO recommends that all children receive a complete schedule of routine vaccinations to achieve herd immunity and reduce the incidence of VPDs. Nevertheless, available data show that Nigeria continues to record high dropout rates between the first and third doses of vaccines such as DPT (NPHCDA, 2023).

The FCT Abuja, despite being the political and administrative hub of the country, has not achieved the expected immunization coverage given its relatively advanced health infrastructure. Studies conducted by Oche et al. (2021) indicated that the dropout rate for routine childhood immunization in Abuja exceeds the national target, with both urban and rural areas facing distinct challenges. Urban caregivers are often influenced by misinformation and competing priorities, whereas rural caregivers face barriers such as long distances to health facilities, vaccine stockouts, and a shortage of trained health workers (Uzochukwu & Onwujekwe, 2018).

The consequences of incomplete immunization are severe. Children who fail to complete their vaccination schedules are at increased risk of contracting preventable diseases such as measles, pertussis, and polio, thereby undermining herd immunity and threatening community health (WHO Africa, 2022). Outbreaks of these diseases continue to occur in Nigeria, reflecting gaps in immunization coverage. Despite national interventions such as the National Immunization Plus Days (NIPDs) and community-based campaigns, many children in FCT Abuja still do not complete their vaccination schedules.

This study was therefore conducted to provide an in-depth understanding of the factors responsible for the non-completion of childhood immunization in the FCT. By comparing urban and rural contexts, the research aimed to generate evidence that could guide the design of effective interventions and policies to close existing immunization gaps.

Objectives of the Study

1.       Determine the proportion of children aged 12–23 months in FCT Abuja who have not completed their immunization schedules in both urban and rural communities.

2.       Assess caregiver-related factors influencing the non-completion of childhood immunization in the FCT.

3.       Evaluate healthcare system–related factors contributing to the non-completion of childhood immunization in the FCT.

4.       Examine community-level factors affecting the completion of childhood immunization in the FCT.

Research Questions

1.       What proportion of children aged 12–23 months in FCT Abuja have not completed their immunization schedules?

2.       What caregiver-related factors influence the non-completion of childhood immunization in FCT Abuja?

3.       What healthcare system–related factors contribute to the non-completion of childhood immunization in FCT Abuja?

4.       How do community-level factors affect the completion of childhood immunization in FCT Abuja?

Research Hypotheses

Null Hypotheses (H₀):

1.       There is no statistically significant association between caregiver-related factors and the non-completion of childhood immunization in FCT Abuja.

2.       There is no statistically significant association between healthcare system–related factors and the non-completion of childhood immunization in FCT Abuja.

3.       There is no statistically significant association between community-related factors and the non-completion of childhood immunization in FCT Abuja.

Alternative Hypotheses (H₁):

1.       There is a statistically significant association between caregiver-related factors and the non-completion of childhood immunization in FCT Abuja.

2.       There is a statistically significant association between healthcare system–related factors and the non-completion of childhood immunization in FCT Abuja.

3.       There is a statistically significant association between community-related factors and the non-completion of childhood immunization in FCT Abuja.

II)     METHODOLOGY

Study Design

This study adopted a descriptive cross-sectional design aimed at assessing the factors contributing to the non-completion of childhood immunization among children aged 12–23 months in both urban and rural communities of the Federal Capital Territory (FCT), Abuja, Nigeria.

Study Population

The study population comprised caregivers of children aged 12–23 months residing in the FCT, Abuja.

Sample and Sampling Technique

The study utilized a multistage sampling technique to ensure representativeness of both urban and rural communities within the FCT, Abuja.

Sample Size Determination

The sample size was determined using Cochran’s formula (1977) for sample size estimation for proportions (Cochran, 1977):

Where:

n = required sample size

Z-value corresponding to the desired confidence level (e.g., 1.96 for 95% confidence level)

P = estimated prevalence of missed opportunities for immunization. Based on previous studies in similar settings, an assumed prevalence of 30% was used (WHO, 2017).

d = margin of error, set at 5% (0.05)

Substituting these values:

 

The sample size was rounded down to 320 respondents for convenience and even distribution between the two strata (urban and rural areas). Hence, the final sample size used in this study was 320 caregivers (192 rural and 128 urban).

Data Collection

Data were collected using a structured, interviewer-administered questionnaire designed based on the study objectives. Trained research assistants fluent in English and local languages administered the questionnaires face-to-face to ensure accuracy and completeness of responses.

Data Analysis and Presentation

Data were entered and analyzed using Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS) version 26.0. Results were presented in tables, charts, and graphs, with statistical significance set at p < 0.05.

III) RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

Socio-Demographic Characteristics of Respondents

A total of 320 caregivers participated in the study 192 (60%) from rural areas and 128 (40%) from urban communities of FCT Abuja. Table .1 presents the socio-demographic characteristics of the respondents.

Table 1: Socio-Demographic Characteristics of Respondents (n = 320)

Variable

Category

Frequency (n)

Percentage (%)

Age of caregiver (years)

Below 20

22

6.9

20–29

118

36.9

30–39

124

38.8

40 and above

56

17.5

Sex

Male

42

13.1

Female

278

86.9

Educational level

No formal education

38

11.9

Primary

76

23.8

Secondary

122

38.1

Tertiary

84

26.3

Occupation

Unemployed

64

20.0

Self-employed

160

50.0

Formal employment

72

22.5

Others

24

7.5

Marital status

Single

28

8.8

Married

266

83.1

Widowed/Divorced

26

8.1

Monthly household income (₦)

Below ₦20,000

92

28.8

₦20,000–₦50,000

136

42.5

Above ₦50,000

92

28.8

Religion

Christianity

186

58.1

Islam

124

38.8

Others

10

3.1

The majority of caregivers (38.8%) were aged between 30–39 years, indicating that most respondents were in their active reproductive and caregiving age. This is consistent with findings by Adedokun et al. (2020), which reported that caregivers within this age group are typically responsible for childcare decisions.

Most respondents were female (86.9%), reflecting the societal norm that mothers primarily oversee child health matters in Nigeria.

Educational attainment varied, with 38.1% having secondary education and 26.3% tertiary education. Notably, 11.9% lacked formal education, a factor linked to poor health literacy and lower immunization completion (Adebayo et al., 2022).

Most caregivers (83.1%) were married, and half were self-employed. The relatively low income levels observed (71.3% earning ≤₦50,000 monthly) suggest that economic constraints could impact the ability to access immunization services, especially in rural areas—a finding consistent with Abdulraheem et al. (2019).

Proportion of Immunization Completion among Children

The analysis revealed that 64.7% of children aged 12–23 months had completed their full immunization schedule, while 35.3% did not. Table 2 shows the immunization completion rate by location.

Table 2: Immunization Completion by Residence (n = 320)

Location

Fully Immunized

Not Fully Immunized

Total

Completion Rate (%)

Urban (n = 128)

92

36

128

71.9

Rural (n = 192)

115

77

192

59.9

Total

207

113

320

64.7

Immunization completion was higher in urban areas (71.9%) than in rural areas (59.9%).
The lower rural completion rate aligns with Oche et al. (2021), who reported that limited healthcare access, longer distances to facilities, and transportation costs contribute to lower immunization coverage in rural communities.

Overall, the 35.3% dropout rate suggests persistent barriers despite ongoing national programs. These findings reflect the broader pattern reported by NPHCDA (2023) and WHO (2023), showing that Nigeria still struggles to reach optimal immunization coverage levels due to inequities between urban and rural populations.

Caregiver-Related Factors Influencing Non-Completion

Table 3 presents caregiver-related determinants of immunization completion. Variables included caregiver education, awareness, and beliefs.

Table 3: Association between Caregiver Factors and Immunization Completion (n = 320)

Variable

Category

Fully Immunized (%)

Not Fully Immunized (%)

χ²

p-value

Education level

No formal

31.6

68.4

18.42

0.001*

Primary

48.7

51.3

Secondary

70.5

29.5

Tertiary

78.6

21.4

Awareness of immunization importance

Yes

69.4

30.6

7.83

0.005*

No

44.1

55.9

Decision maker for child’s vaccination

Self

71.2

28.8

6.92

0.031*

Spouse/others

54.9

45.1

Fear of side effects

Yes

50.5

49.5

11.60

0.001*

No

72.9

27.1

*Significant at p < 0.05

Educational level was significantly associated with immunization completion (p = 0.001). Caregivers with tertiary education were more likely to complete immunizations than those without formal education. This supports findings by Adedokun et al. (2020) and Adebayo et al. (2022) that education improves understanding and trust in vaccines.

Awareness of immunization importance also showed a strong association (p = 0.005), implying that sensitization and health promotion play a vital role.

Caregivers who personally made vaccination decisions had higher completion rates than those relying on spouses or relatives. This reflects the influence of household gender roles on child health decisions, similar to findings by Olorunsaiye et al. (2020).

Fear of vaccine side effects was another major factor (p = 0.001). Misconceptions and past adverse reactions discouraged many caregivers, echoing results from Anyanwu et al. (2021) that fear and misinformation drive immunization dropouts.

Healthcare System Related Factors

Table 4: Association between Healthcare System Factors and Immunization Completion (n = 320)

Variable

Category

Fully Immunized (%)

Not Fully Immunized (%)

χ²

p-value

Distance to facility

<1 km

72.5

27.5

9.12

0.011*

1–5 km

63.2

36.8

>5 km

52.1

47.9

Vaccine stockouts

Yes

54.8

45.2

8.33

0.004*

No

71.5

28.5

Attitude of health workers

Friendly

70.8

29.2

12.24

0.001*

Neutral/rude

52.0

48.0

Waiting time >2 hrs

Yes

56.3

43.7

7.90

0.012*

No

70.1

29.9

*Significant at p < 0.05

Healthcare system factors showed strong associations with immunization completion. Caregivers living within 1 km of a facility had significantly higher completion rates (p = 0.011), supporting Abdulraheem et al. (2019) that distance affects service utilization.

Frequent vaccine stockouts were a critical deterrent (p = 0.004), reflecting systemic supply issues identified by Oche et al. (2021).

The attitude of health workers was another significant factor (p = 0.001). Caregivers encountering friendly, communicative staff were more likely to complete vaccination. Poor provider interaction discourages return visits, as supported by Adebayo et al. (2022).

Lastly, long waiting times at health facilities significantly reduced completion rates (p = 0.012), similar to findings by Olusanya et al. (2020), which stressed the need for improved service efficiency.

Community-Related Factors

Table 5: Association between Community Factors and Immunization Completion (n = 320)

Variable

Category

Fully Immunized (%)

Not Fully Immunized (%)

χ²

p-value

Community support for immunization

Yes

71.8

28.2

9.45

0.002*

No

54.0

46.0

Presence of anti-vaccine beliefs

Yes

48.9

51.1

13.72

0.001*

No

72.6

27.4

Participation in sensitization meetings

Yes

70.4

29.6

10.03

0.005*

No

56.0

44.0

*Significant at p < 0.05

Community influence plays a crucial role in immunization behaviors. Respondents from supportive communities were significantly more likely to complete immunizations (p = 0.002).
Anti-vaccine beliefs, often driven by misinformation or religious misconceptions, were linked with non-completion (p = 0.001), echoing Umeh et al. (2022) and Adedokun et al. (2020).

Participation in sensitization meetings increased completion rates, confirming that community engagement is an effective strategy for promoting vaccine uptake, consistent with Umeh et al. (2022) and WHO (2023) recommendations for community mobilization.

IV)  SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION

Summary of Findings

The immunization completion rate was 64.7%, while 35.3% of children had incomplete immunization. Urban communities recorded a higher completion rate (71.9%) compared to rural areas (59.9%). The disparity reflects uneven access to health services, lower awareness, and logistical challenges faced by rural caregivers.

Educational level showed a strong positive association (p = 0.001); caregivers with tertiary education had the highest completion rates. Awareness of immunization importance positively influenced completion (p = 0.005). Decision-making autonomy increased completion rates (p = 0.031), showing that empowered caregivers are more likely to ensure full vaccination. Fear of side effects discouraged immunization completion (p = 0.001), highlighting the impact of misinformation and negative experiences.

Distance to health facility affected uptake (p = 0.011), with those living closer more likely to complete immunization. Vaccine stockouts were a major deterrent (p = 0.004), reflecting supply chain inefficiencies. Health worker attitude (p = 0.001) and long waiting times (p = 0.012) influenced caregivers’ willingness to return for subsequent doses.

Community encouragement and mobilization enhanced completion (p = 0.002). Anti-vaccine beliefs and misinformation significantly reduced completion (p = 0.001). Participation in community sensitization programs improved immunization adherence (p = 0.005).

Therefore, the study demonstrates that childhood immunization completion in FCT Abuja is influenced by a mix of individual, structural, and social factors. Educated and empowered caregivers in supportive communities with accessible, efficient healthcare services are more likely to complete vaccination schedules for their children. Addressing these barriers holistically can significantly improve immunization coverage and reduce vaccine-preventable diseases among children in both urban and rural settings.

Conclusion

This study concludes that childhood immunization completion remains suboptimal in the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja, with significant disparities between urban and rural communities. Despite government and partner efforts to promote full immunization, several challenges persist.

The major determinants of non-completion include low caregiver education, poor awareness, long distance to health facilities, vaccine stockouts, negative health worker attitudes, and community misinformation about vaccines. These factors collectively hinder caregivers’ ability and willingness to complete their children’s vaccination schedules.

The findings affirm that both demand-side factors (caregiver knowledge, beliefs, and autonomy) and supply-side factors (health system accessibility and quality) influence immunization completion. Therefore, achieving complete immunization coverage requires multi-dimensional interventions that empower caregivers, strengthen the health system, and mobilize community support.

Ultimately, the study emphasizes that improving immunization outcomes in the FCT Abuja is not only a matter of vaccine availability but also of education, accessibility, communication, and community trust. Strengthening these components will be essential for Nigeria to meet its commitments under Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 3—ensuring healthy lives and promoting well-being for all.

Recommendations

·         Improve Accessibility and Service Delivery

·         Enhance Health Worker Capacity and Motivation

·         Promote Community Engagement and Ownership

·         Policy and Monitoring Interventions

·         Strengthening caregiver education and empowerment enhances informed decision-making.

·         Investing in healthcare infrastructure and supply chains promotes equitable access.

By addressing these areas, Nigeria can accelerate progress toward universal immunization coverage and the reduction of vaccine-preventable morbidity and mortality among children under five years of age.

Ethical Consideration

Ethical approval was obtained from the appropriate Health Research Ethics Committee prior to data collection. Permission was also obtained from facility managers in the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja. Informed consent was obtained from all participants, and participation was voluntary with the right to withdraw at any time. Confidentiality and anonymity were maintained, and all data were securely stored and used solely for research purposes. The study adhered to the principles of the Declaration of Helsinki and national ethical guidelines.

Limitation of the Study

The cross-sectional design limits causal inference. Data were based on self-reports, which may be affected by recall and social desirability bias. Findings may not be fully generalizable beyond the study area. Despite these limitations, the study provides useful evidence on factors influencing childhood immunization completion.

Author Contributions

Lawrence Okonkwo Ikechukwu conceptualized the study, conducted data collection, performed data analysis, and drafted the initial manuscript.

Muhammad Abdulrahman contributed to study design refinement, data interpretation, critical revision of the manuscript for intellectual content, and final approval of the version to be published.

 

Conflict of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Funding

This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.

 

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